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CITIC Securities: Scientific and Technological Progress+Policy Expectation The Internet sector is both offensive and defensive. According to CITIC Securities Research Report, the the Political Bureau of the Communist Party of China (CPC) Central Committee meeting on December 9, 2024 pointed out that a more active fiscal policy and a moderately loose monetary policy should be implemented next year, and consumption should be greatly boosted, investment efficiency should be improved, and domestic demand should be expanded in all directions. We believe that the valuation of the Internet sector has reflected the current conservative expectations, and the strong shareholder returns provide sufficient margin of safety, while the performance of the sector is expected to benefit significantly from the macro improvement, which will bring about a double-click on performance and valuation, with emphasis on recommending pro-cyclical sectors, such as e-commerce, local life, travel, freight, online recruitment, real estate service platforms, etc. Content-based companies focus on the pace of quality content supply and valuation improvement. In the long run, Internet companies lead domestic technological innovation, and artificial intelligence and autonomous driving are expected to contribute to the increase. We suggest focusing on leading Internet companies with pro-cyclical, stable competitive advantage, low valuation and stable shareholder returns.GOL Airlines of Brazil will submit a preliminary plan for debt restructuring in accordance with Chapter 11 of the US Bankruptcy Law.List of A-share restricted shares lifted: The restricted shares with a market value of 3.961 billion yuan were lifted today. On Tuesday (December 10th), the restricted shares of six companies were lifted, with a total lifting amount of 185 million shares. According to the latest closing price, the total lifting market value was 3.961 billion yuan. Judging from the amount of lifting the ban, one company lifted more than 10 million shares. Dongxin, Guiyan Platinum and Hangzhou Jiebai were among the top companies, with 166 million shares, 6,131,900 shares and 6,033,300 shares respectively. Judging from the market value of lifting the ban, the number of shares lifted by a company exceeds 100 million yuan. Dongxin Co., Ltd., Guiyan Platinum Industry and Yineng Power are among the top companies in terms of market value, with market values of 3.717 billion yuan, 86.767 million yuan and 81.6371 million yuan respectively. Judging from the proportion of shares released from the ban to the total share capital, the proportion of one company released from the ban exceeded 10%. Dongxin, Yineng Power and Baolijie are among the top companies, with the lifting rates of 37.47%, 5.75% and 1.78% respectively.

CITIC Securities: In November, the PPI turned positive more than expected, and the core CPI continued to improve. According to the research report of CITIC Securities, the price data in November 2024 showed that the boosting effect on the economy after the policy shift in late September initially appeared at the "price end", mainly in two aspects: "PPI turned positive" and "continuous improvement of core CPI". In terms of PPI, this month's PPI turned positive more than expected, and the main contributions came from "the effect of trade-in for new products is gradually appearing at the price end of related industries" and "the acceleration of physical workload of infrastructure has boosted the prices of raw materials industries in the upper and middle reaches". It is embodied in the remarkable improvement of PPI in computer machine manufacturing, communication terminal equipment manufacturing, automobile manufacturing, durable consumer goods (means of subsistence), non-metallic mineral products industry and other industries. In terms of CPI, although the year-on-year growth rate of CPI further declined to 0.2%, which was significantly lower than the market expectation, it was largely affected by the over-seasonal decline in food prices. The core CPI, which the market paid more attention to, continued to improve slightly on the margin, with the year-on-year reading rising from 0.1% at the bottom of September to 0.2% in October and 0.3% in November. In terms of splitting, the CPI decline of the three major durable consumer goods and services has narrowed compared with the same period of last year. On the whole, the combination of "CPI 0.2%+PPI -2.5%" reveals that China is still facing significant "low inflation" pressure, and it is still necessary to continue to strengthen the price level with a package of incremental policies. Looking back, if the boosting effect of the "two new" policies on the demand of downstream industrial products and the driving effect of the accelerated issuance of special bonds on the physical workload of infrastructure can be released continuously, it will provide some support for the improvement of PPI; However, if you want to see the PPI continue to turn positive significantly, you may have to wait for the policy to further push the physical workload and real estate start-up data, as well as the more stringent supply-side optimization policies in some areas with more production capacity.Galaxy Securities: When the IP layout of "Millet Economy" was carried out, the china galaxy Securities Research Report indicated that "Millet Economy" was highly prosperous, and high-quality IP was the key. In 2024, IP products will continue to maintain a high degree of popularity, from Xiaoma Baolika brand in the first half of the year to Guzi store and Jellycat pop-up shop since the third quarter, with strong market demand. It is believed that IP creation is the core of "millet" and tide play consumption, and the influence of IP plays an important role in attracting fans and integrating multiple formats. As the key to accumulate users and break the circle of products, high-quality IP can attract consumers and extend the product life cycle. Therefore, in the current environment of high market attention and strong demand, the high prosperity of high-quality IP products is expected to be maintained. It is suggested to follow up on two tracks: the track with stable performance foundation or obvious supply-side recovery, and the track with high cost performance, and the elastic variety with incremental dimension or improvement of external factors: 1) Hong Kong stock Internet: the profit improvement expectation of Head Internet Company is strengthened, and the cost performance of investment is prominent. It is suggested to pay attention to Tencent Holdings, which has steady growth in various businesses and stable fundamentals, and the Internet video platform company, which turned losses for the first time in a single quarter and continuously improved its profitability. 2) Publishing industry: The publishing industry will accelerate the development of digitalization, personalization, customization and intelligence, and the new amount of AI+ publishing and research business will bring new opportunities to the industry, and the market value management of central enterprises will be included in the assessment. It is suggested to pay attention to: Shandong Publishing and Southern Media, which are stable in fundamentals and have certain business incremental space; 3) Cinema & Game Industry: High-quality content is always a scarce resource in the industry. It is suggested to pay attention to the game and cinema companies under AI empowerment: Shenzhou Taiyue, Bona Film, WANDA CINEMAS and so on, which have rich content reserves. 4) With regard to IP derivatives, it is recommended to pay attention to POP MART, the leader of the IP craze retail market.Greater Bay Area's major projects are new! The Huangmaohai Cross-sea Passage was officially opened to traffic at 15: 00 on the 11th. It was learned exclusively from Guangdong Transportation Department that the Huangmaohai Cross-sea Passage Project, one of the major projects in Guangdong-Hong Kong-Macao Greater Bay Area, will be officially opened to traffic at 15: 00 on December 11th. It takes about 30 minutes from Zhuhai, Guangdong to Jiangmen, Guangdong, and the three-dimensional traffic network in Greater Bay Area is further dense. The reporter learned that in the early stage of the opening of the project, the public will be temporarily exempted from the road tolls of the project, and the detailed fees will be disclosed separately in the next step. (CCTV)

Japan's M2 money stock increased by 1.2% and M3 by 0.7% in November.In November, the annual rate of M2 money supply in Japan was 1.2%, and the previous value was 1.20%. M3 annual rate is 0.7%.Guotai Junan: Actively grasp the double-low and low-premium convertible bonds with high selective price and good flexibility. Guotai Junan said that the probability of short-term risk events is not high, and the liquidity of the domestic stock market is also supported. Considering the A500 opening of positions, the allocation of insurance and wealth management products and the year-end ranking of funds, we should actively prepare for the new year-end rebound of China stock market from December 2024 to January 2025. Actively grasp the new year's rebound, high selective price and good flexibility of double low and low premium convertible bonds.